MCP For Claude Marketplace
Scoreline Probability Calculator

Scoreline Probability Calculator MCP Connector for Claude

A+

Computes exact football scoreline probabilities from goal distributions or matrices.

4 tools Official Updated Oct 1, 2026 Official Vinkius Partner
More Details Connect to Claude

This MCP server provides a mathematical engine to calculate the likelihood of specific football match outcomes. By using calculate_from_distributions, you can input independent goal probabilities for both teams to derive the most likely scorelines. Alternatively, use calculate_from_matrix to analyze a pre-defined joint probability space. The engine also supports identifying the single most probable outcome via get_most_likely_scoreline and determining how many outcomes are needed to reach a specific probability threshold using get_scoreline_coverage.

footballsoccerprobabilitystatisticsscoreline

4 tools expose this connector's capabilities to your AI agent.

calculate_from_distributions

Calculates exact scoreline probabilities by treating home and away goal counts as independent variables

calculate_from_matrix

Extracts and ranks scoreline probabilities from a pre-defined joint probability matrix

get_most_likely_scoreline

Identifies the single most probable scoreline for a given match configuration

get_scoreline_coverage

Determines how many specific scorelines must be considered to reach a certain threshold of total match probability

See how to talk to your AI agent using Scoreline Probability Calculator.

What is the most likely scoreline if the home team has a 50% chance of 1 goal and 30% chance of 2 goals, and the away team has a 40% chance of 0 goals and 40% chance of 1 goal?

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 with a probability of 0.20.

Calculate the top 3 scorelines for these distributions: home [0.1, 0.5, 0.4] and away [0.2, 0.6, 0.2].

The top 3 scorelines are 1-1 (0.30), 1-0 (0.12), and 0-1 (0.10).

Using a joint probability matrix [[0.1, 0.2], [0.3, 0.4]], what are the top 2 scorelines?

The top 2 scorelines are 1-1 (0.40) and 1-0 (0.30).

You can use the `get_most_likely_scoreline` tool by providing the probability arrays for both the home and away teams.

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