Cross-Market Logical Arbitrage

Cross-Market Logical Arbitrage MCP Connector for Claude

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Detect risk-free profit opportunities between logically related binary markets.

3 tools Official Updated Oct 1, 2026 Official Vinkius Partner

This MCP server identifies deterministic arbitrage opportunities in prediction markets where one event logically necessitates another. By analyzing the price discrepancy between a source market and an implied market, it identifies risk-free profit opportunities. Use detect_arbitrage_opportunity to find price gaps, validate_logical_relationship to confirm if one market implies another, and get_trade_instructions to receive specific execution steps for capturing the spread.

polymarketarbitrageprediction-marketslogictrading

3 tools expose this connector's capabilities to your AI agent.

detect_arbitrage_opportunity

get_trade_instructions

validate_logical_relationship

See how to talk to your AI agent using Cross-Market Logical Arbitrage.

Is there an arbitrage opportunity between 'Candidate X wins' at 0.6 and 'Republican wins' at 0.5 with 1000 liquidity in both?

Yes, an arbitrage opportunity exists. The profit per unit is 0.1. The maximum trade size is 1000, requiring 150 capital for a 10% guaranteed return.

Check if 'Candidate X wins' logically implies 'Republican wins'.

Yes, the relationship is valid as the first event is a subset of the second.

Give me trade instructions for an arbitrage where Price A is 0.7, Price B is 0.6, and I want to trade 100 units.

To execute this, Buy No on Market A at 0.3 and Buy Yes on Market B at 0.6. The total expected cost is 90.

It is a risk-free profit opportunity that occurs when the price of a specific event is higher than the price of a broader event that must happen if the specific one does.

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