What is an impossible outcome?

An impossible outcome occurs when the market resolution rules cannot be met given the current date and the event's deadline, such as when a deadline has passed without the event occurring.

How do I calculate my potential profit?

You can use the `calculate_trade_opportunity` tool to find the guaranteed profit and the annualized yield based on the days remaining until resolution.

How can I ensure the rules are clear enough to avoid disputes?

Use the `validate_resolution_clarity` tool to assess the risk of a manual dispute by checking for ambiguity in the resolution rules.

Black Swan Zero Premium Selling MCP Connector for Claude

A+

Identify and exploit impossible prediction market outcomes for guaranteed profit.

3 tools Official Updated Oct 1, 2026 Official Vinkius Partner

More Details Connect to Claude

This MCP server provides a deterministic decision engine to identify 'impossible' prediction market outcomes. By analyzing market resolution rules against current dates, it detects when an event's probability has logically dropped to zero. Use evaluate_impossibility to check if a deadline has passed, calculate_trade_opportunity to determine guaranteed profit and annualized yield, and validate_resolution_clarity to assess the risk of manual disputes. It is designed to find arbitrage opportunities where the market price for a 'Yes' contract is greater than zero despite the outcome being physically or contractually impossible.

prediction-marketsarbitragedeterministicfinancerisk-management

Connect to Claude

Subscribe on Vinkius, then add this connector to Claude.ai or Claude Code.

① Claude.ai (web app)

Go to Settings → Connectors → Add custom connector
Paste the MCP endpoint URL below

https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_aWsAnWmN1deWvGhktq8LcwG2QB0K3mJDQfH9SEBG/mcp

② Claude Code (terminal)

claude mcp add --transport http black-swan-zero-premium-selling https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_aWsAnWmN1deWvGhktq8LcwG2QB0K3mJDQfH9SEBG/mcp

③ Claude Desktop

Add to claude_desktop_config.json:

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "black-swan-zero-premium-selling": {
      "url": "https://edge.vinkius.com/vk_preview_aWsAnWmN1deWvGhktq8LcwG2QB0K3mJDQfH9SEBG/mcp"
    }
  }
}

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